Kalshi Sports Trading Bot Developer (Fair Odds / +EV Automation)
UpworkUSNot specifiedintermediateScore: 82
PythonWeb ScrapingData ExtractionAutomationScrapySeleniumAPI IntegrationData MiningData CleaningData AnalysisMicrosoft ExcelGoogle SheetsWeb CrawlingScriptingData Scraping
I am hiring a developer to build an automated trading bot that executes a rules-based +EV strategy on Kalshi prediction markets using fair probability modeling from sportsbook data.
The bot will integrate with Pick the Odds (or equivalent odds aggregation source) to calculate true probabilities shortly before events begin (typically 1–45 minutes pre-game). The system must:
Convert odds to percentage format
Exclude Kalshi and Polymarket from aggregated sportsbook inputs
Apply multiplicative devigging so outcomes sum to exactly 100% (true fair odds)
The bot will then compare fair probabilities to live Kalshi order books and automatically place maker orders based on strict pricing logic:
Offer orders 2–3% below fair probability
Always price at least 1¢ below the current Ask (to avoid taker fees)
Never place orders above fair value
Handle exception logic when Ask prices are already significantly below fair odds
Primary markets to monitor:
NBA totals
NHL totals/goal markets
NFL totals
MLB totals
College basketball totals
Strategy prioritizes unders and longer-odds outcomes, where retail bias and slower information pricing create inefficiencies.
Key Requirements:
Experience building trading or betting automation bots
API integration (Kalshi + odds data sources)
Real-time order book monitoring
Automated order placement & cancellation logic
Risk controls and configurable share sizing
Logging, error handling, and uptime reliability
Experience with prediction markets, sportsbook odds, or quantitative trading systems is strongly preferred. The goal is a stable, fully automated market-making bot that consistently executes predefined +EV rules.
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