Excel Developer – Industrial Portfolio Volatility & Stress Modeling
UpworkUSNot specifiedexpertScore: 44
Financial ModelingFinancial AnalysisMicrosoft ExcelForecastingData Model ScenarioReal Estate Financial ModelingRisk AnalysisData ModelingSensitivity AnalysisVBAAutomation
Description:
We are seeking an experienced Excel modeler to develop a scalable, dynamic portfolio stress-testing model for commercial real estate (industrial and LRO) portfolios. This project focuses on quantifying portfolio-level financial volatility, policy and property-level deductible exposures, and scenario-driven risk.
The ideal candidate will have advanced Excel skills, a strong quantitative background, and experience building financial or risk models that handle complex, row-driven datasets. Accuracy, scalability, and clean documentation are essential.
Project Scope & Requirements:
1. Portfolio Engine
• Model properties and policies with row-level calculations.
• Automatically calculate:
• Deductible allocation per property based on structure (Per Building / Per Occurrence / Per Policy).
• Net Loss per property and policy.
• Allocation (%) and deductible stacking.
• Maximum single property and policy losses.
• Allow additional properties or policies to be added without breaking formulas.
2. Scenario / Alternative Modeling
• Create override controls for scenario testing: event type (Named Storm, Flood, EQ, AOP), state filter, damage ratio, deductible structure.
• Automatically recalculate all impacted metrics when scenarios change.
• Highlight potential stress points, correlations, and exposure stacking.
3. Policy & Portfolio Roll-Ups
• Summarize data at the policy and portfolio levels: total net loss, gross loss, allocations, max single policy/property loss, etc.
• Include portfolio-level metrics: total portfolio TIV, total portfolio market value, LTV, debt exposure, DSCR (optional), weighted average occupancy, and other relevant financial/risk indicators.
4. Data & Tables
• All tables must use structured references or dynamic ranges.
• Ensure headers, naming conventions, and data formats are consistent.
• Include validation controls for input fields (dropdowns for event type, deductible structure, yes/no flags, etc.).
5. Documentation / Instructions
• Provide step-by-step instructions for a non-technical user to:
• Add new properties or policies.
• Update scenario inputs.
• Interpret calculated outputs and key stress metrics.
• Run alternative scenario analyses.
Deliverables:
• Fully functioning Excel workbook with clear structured tables.
• Scenario controls and dynamic calculations as described above.
• User guide / instruction sheet explaining usage and workflow.
• Optional: summary dashboards or charts highlighting key portfolio exposures and stress points.
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